It’s a mess

 Double jabbed Sajid Jav. 

  Is not immune the virus has,

Jumped inside and laid him low,

Thinking the health Secretary should know,

Covid 19 has great plans

To continue sweeping across the land.

Every time I talk to my daughter about the current state of affairs regarding Coronavirus she ends by saying, “It’s a mess!”

And it is a mess.

Covid won. We didn’t outsmart it. It killed loads of people, established itself as an unbeatable, here to stay virus that mutates quickly and despite our modern technological ways of working from home looks likely to have ruined the economy for the future.

Commentators act as though they know whether the full unlocking is the right thing. People act as though they are certain wearing  a mask is essential to making the virus go away but the truth is that no one really knows. The scientists and maths modellers that I follow on Twitter are agreed on one thing, though. They agree that there are a range of possible outcomes. These range from ‘it will be fine’ to ‘we are totally fucked.’

With such a large portion of the population double vaccinated the theory is that transmission should break soon. It could be that the remaining people who haven’t been vaccinated catch it, get immunity, the hospitals continue to cope (ignoring the fact that they weren’t coping before) and we will be able to stop testing and treat it like one of the many other bugs that could kill us. On the other end of the spectrum there is a possibility that within a couple of weeks we will discover that the vaccine doesn’t actually work, the health Secretary dies, Boris and the rest of the cabinet are luckily chosen for the group of the trial that can go out with daily testing but are still infectious and pass it on to every hospital and care home they choose to visit to prove, "there's nothing to see here," , the virus mutates again to be deadly to children.  

*Since I wrote this Boris and Rishi have both coincidentally be put into the trial group.  No one will believe that they could both be randomly selected for the same group. However the odds are 1/4 so its not impossible.  The LSH and I were both in the control group and we did get notification of our group by return of email.*

The truth is that it will be somewhere in between.

The truth is that it is going to continue to be messy. It's not going to affect everyone equally and it's not over yet, even though Freedom day starts at midnight tonight.

The truth is that until we have stopped testing there will be lockdown by the back door.  This will be lockdown without financial support.  Last night, I walked through town and noticed that the only bank that stayed open for all of the pandemic has had to close for 10 days, the chip shop has closed and I saw on social media that the tea room that boomed throughout lockdown by opening up their own garden has too many staff being told to isolate to stay open.  The local secondary school has so few children in it's hardly worth being open.  People who have plans are twitchy about doing anything for 10 days before.